
For most of 2025, EU olive oil exporters faced a 20% duty into the US. Since February 2026, that dropped to a flat 10% Section 122 rate after the reciprocal tariff was struck down. Spain, Italy and Greece still supply about 95% of US imports, so this one rate change moves real volume.
What we'd flag for anyone selling into this category:
- The US market is valued around $4.2 billion in 2025 and keeps growing on health-driven demand, not fashion.
- Import dependency is near total (98%), so shelf price tracks duty and freight more than local supply.
- Country of origin now matters commercially, not just culturally: Tunisia and Türkiye still sit at a lower baseline tariff than the EU.
- Retailers who stockpiled ahead of past tariff deadlines are watching the next policy move closely.
If you're an exporter or brand team weighing the US olive oil shelf right now, the maths changed twice in twelve months. We'd want current duty rates, HTS classification and realistic landed cost before quoting a buyer.
How are you tracking tariff changes before you commit a price list? And does your team already use something like Radar to pull market size, entry rules and competitor pricing into one brief before you negotiate?
Sources
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